Cost of Credit and House Prices

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Title:

Cost of Credit and House Prices

Number:

21/06

Author(s):

Yusuf Emre Akgündüz, H. Özlem Dursun-de Neef, Yavuz Selim Hacıhasanoğlu, Fatih Yılmaz

Language:

English

Date:

March 2021

Abstract:

This paper studies the relationship between house prices and financing conditions. In the analysis, it exploits a sudden reduction in the mortgage rates of state-owned banks in Turkey during the summer of 2020 as an exogenous shock to provide causal estimates of the cost of credit on house prices. The effects are estimated using a detailed dataset on all house sales with mortgages. Our results show that a 1 percentage point decrease in annual interest rates raised house prices by 2.1%. This impact is driven by a corresponding increase in individual mortgage loans of 6.6%.

Keywords:

Mortgage rates, Mortgage lending, House prices

JEL Codes:

G21; G28

Cost of Credit and House Prices